THE TUNNEL METHOD (隧道交易方法）
Step 1.First, you need a charting service. Since most all electronic trading platforms have charts with technical indicators, this shouldn't be a problem.
首先你需要找個好的圖表服務(wù)，由于目前大多數(shù)電子交易平臺都有技術(shù)指標圖形,，這應(yīng)該不難,。
Create a 1 hour chart on whatever currency pairs interest you. Barcharts or candlesticks really make no difference. Overlay on this 3 things:
1) a 169 period [1 hour] ema [exponential moving average],
2) a 144 period [1 hour] ema, and finally
3) a 12 period [1hour] ema.
在你的平臺上建一個你感興趣貨幣對的1h  的圖形，棒型圖還是蠟燭圖都可以,，沒有什么大的區(qū)別,，
疊加上三條均線（ema均線）：
1）一條ema(169)的均線；
2）ema(144)均線,；
最后一條ema(12)的均線,；
The 144 and 169 ema's create what I call the 'tunnel'. The 12 ema is an extremely valuable filter that you will want to have there all the time. I will talk more about this in the filter section.
建立的144，169這兩條均線我叫隧道,。Ema(12)是一個非常有價值的過濾器,，你一直都需要他，我會在過濾這部分專門介紹他,。
Step 2.Memorize or write down and keep next to your trading screen the following fibonacci number sequence: 1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144,233,377. For trading purposes, the numbers of interest are 55, 89, 144, 233, and 377.
第2步：記住或?qū)懴乱韵碌馁M納滋數(shù)列到靠近你的屏幕的位置,，1，1,，2,，3,，5，8,，13,，21，34,，55,，89，144,，233,，377。就交易的目的來說,，最感興趣的數(shù)字是34,，55，89,，144,，233，377,。
Step 3.Wait for the market to come into the area of the 'tunnel'. When it breaks ABOVE the upper tunnel boundary, you go long. When it breaks BELOW the lower tunnel boundary, you go short.
第3步：等待市場走進隧道的區(qū)域,，如果向上突破隧道上軌，你就作多,。如果跌破下軌邊緣,，你就做空。（這里的市場理解成K線,，更好理解）
Step 4.Stops and reverse are placed on the other side of the tunnel.
第4部：止損或反轉(zhuǎn)的位置在隧道的另一邊,。
Step 5.As the market trades in your direction, you take partial profits at the successive fib numbers respectively, with the final portion of your position left on until one of the following conditons occur: 1) market hits the last fib number [377 pips] from the ema's, or 2) the market eventually comes back to the tunnel and violates the other side.
第5步：當市場按你交易方向進行時，你按費納滋數(shù)列逐一兌現(xiàn)部分利潤離場,，留下部分最后一部分頭寸直到出現(xiàn)以下情況時再結(jié)清：1）K線碰到最后一個費納滋數(shù)字（377點）或2）K線最終回到了隧道碰并且到了另一邊,。

本帖最后由 wccmcd 于 2015-12-4 12:05 編輯

Example: GBP/USD is trading at 1.8500. The ema's are as follows: 144- 1.8494, 169- 1.8512. The market breaks 1.8494, and you sell at 1.8492. Your stop and reverse is now at 1.8512. Over the following hours, market starts to go down. 40 minutes after you put position on, cable is at 1.8440. You can use for computation purposes either tunnel boundary or the median of the tunnel. Ema's are still the same, so if you use the median, 55 from 1.8503 is 1.8448. You should have taken part of the position off at 1.8448. Market does nothing rest of day. Stop can be moved down to protect position or left alone at tunnel. You are now looking for price to be 89 pips away from the ema's. Since 55 was already passed, it no longer concerns us in this cycle. A couple of days later, cable is at 1.8300 and the median of ema's is 1.8410 [1.8400 - 1.8420]. You should be out of another portion of the position at 1.8321. Market bottoms here and in the next 2 hours, cable screams to 1.8535. Your remaining short position is covered at upper tunnel boundary of 1.8420, and you are now long from this point as well. Since you are long, you would now take partial profits at 1.8475 and 1.8509.
例如：GBP/USD 在1.8500位置交易，EMA狀況如下：ema(144)-1.8494,EMA(169)-1.8512.K線跌破1.8494,，你就在1.8492位置作空,，你設(shè)定的止損或反轉(zhuǎn)點現(xiàn)在就是1.8512。在接下來的幾小時,，市場開始向下走,，40分鐘你開倉后，到了1.8440,。你可以用計算機計算結(jié)果隧道邊緣或者隧道中央了,。ema還是一樣的，所以如果你用隧道中央,，從1.8503到1.8448是55點,，你可以在1.8448位置了解部分頭寸,。接下來一天里市場無所作為，止損可以移動到保護頭寸或任由其在隧道內(nèi)?，F(xiàn)在你尋求由ema下來的89點的價位了,。由于55點已經(jīng)過了，我們不再關(guān)心這個循環(huán)了,。幾天以后,，到了1.8300的位置，中線ema是1.8410（1.8410－1.8420）,。你必須在1.8321位置出來另一部分頭寸,。這就是市場的底了，2小時后,，漲到1.8535,。你的剩余頭寸在上軌上緣1.8420位置了，現(xiàn)在你最好做多,。由于你現(xiàn)在做多,，你可以將空頭頭寸在1.8475或1.8509結(jié)回部分利潤。
This is a fairly typical example.
If you were to just stick to this basic model, you account would grow very well over time. Las Vegas was built with far fewer percentages in the casino's favor.
如果你一直按此基本模式操作,，你的賬戶會一直這樣增長下去,。Las Vegas在Casino百分之幾的支持下建立了這個模型。
In case you haven't figured it out, this model cuts your losses very short. By definiton, you can't lose very much on a single trade from your initial entry position.. On the other side, you take some quick profits at the 55 level which satisfies the scalper in you, and you have positioned yourself for bigger profits in the long run should the market keep going in your favor. By definition, you are letting profits run.
萬一你想像不到,，這個模型對你的利潤損失很小,。明確的說,，你不會在你的初始入點的單一交易中損失很多,。另一方面，你在55點位置快速獲得了利潤足以滿足剝頭皮的要求（可以轉(zhuǎn)回點差）,，你擁有賺取更多利潤的頭寸,，在接下來的市場按你方向長期運行中。明顯地,，你讓利潤奔跑,。
The Achilles heal of this model is when the market chops around the tunnel and gets you in and out multiple times for small losses. I will cover how to deal with this in the filters section.
這個模型的Achiles heal是當市場在隧道邊緣盤整，讓你多次進出會帶來一些小的損失.我會在過濾部分告訴你如何處理隧道區(qū)的盤整,。
That's it. This is the model. Fairly simple in its design, and easy to remember. Has all the things every local wants in a model, except the quick 2 pip scalps, which you can't do anyway. Cuts losses, and lets profits run. Yet for its design simplicity, the thought behind is more complex. Time to talk about that.
這就是,，這個模型，設(shè)計上相當簡單,，容易記憶,。這個模型能得到所有想要的嗎，除了快達2點的頭皮,，你不能做什么外,，減少損失,，讓利潤奔跑，思想的背后很復雜,，有時間說明他,。
THE FILTERS
過濾
Filters are used to increase overall profitability and/or reduce overall losses. If a filter does not do one of these two things, then I do not use it. What good is a filter if it raises your profitability by 10% but only gets you into 1/3 as many trades? What good is a filter if it reduces losses by 10% - 20% , but also reduces profitability on every trade by half? I think you get the point.
過濾用于提高整個利潤和減少整體損失。如果過濾器達不到以下兩件事中的一件,，我們都不能用他,。什么是個好的過濾器？他提高你的利潤10%,，但僅僅過濾掉所有交易的1/3,。什么是個好的過濾器？減少損失10-20%,，也還在你所以有的交易中減少了50%利潤,。我想你知道選擇哪個了。
Here are the filters the vegas team uses. [Yes, I have a team. There are 3 of us. We trade GBP/USD, USD/CHF, and the S&P e-mini futures contract. Each has a specialty. Mine is GBP/USD. We are each responsible for our main pair. One of us is always at the screen when markets are open. Positions are covered by other partners when away. We only tunnel trade.]
這是Vegas團隊使用的過濾器,。（是的,，我一個小團隊，我們?nèi)齻€人,，交易GBP/USD,USD/CHF和S&P 電子迷你合約,。每個人都有特長，我的特長是 GBP/USD,，我們每個人負責一個貨幣對,，我們中的一個人一直盯在屏幕上當開市后，照看著所有的人的頭寸當其他離開的時候,，我們只用隧道法交易）,。

本帖最后由 wccmcd 于 2015-12-4 12:05 編輯

1.)Put the 12 ema [1 hour] on your screen with the rest of your indicators. When everything is at the same price [tunnel, current market price, 12 ema] sit up and take notice. When the market breaks away from the tunnel, there is a very high probability of a strong market move coming. I don't need Gann, because this gives me time, the square of time, and price all in equilibrium. When it breaks, it goes.
將EMA(12)及其他指標放到1h圖上，當（隧道,，現(xiàn)在的市場價,，ema(12)處于一個價格時，嚴密注意,。一旦價格脫離隧道,，一個可能很大的很強的市場機會來了。我不需要江恩,，因為著給我時間,，時間正方，所有的價格平衡了,，一旦突破,，行情開始了。
Need proof? Well, go back on your favorite currency pair and check it out. In the first quarter of 2005, this filter alone produced 20 trades, 19 which were profitable in USD/CHF. In fact, as I write this, 1 trade is still on from about 3 handles ago. Since I am not responsible for Swissy, I'm not the guy pushing the button, only monitoring it when I'm at the screen [changing stops when needed, etc.]. But, the position is still on.
需要證明嗎,？哦,，回頭看看你喜歡的貨幣對檢查一下,，在2005年的第一季，這個過濾信號出現(xiàn)了20次交易機會,，19次在USD/CHF上帶來了盈利,，實際上，在我寫這篇文章時,，一個交易從進出3次后還在進行,。由于我不是負責瑞郎貨幣對的，也不是決定交易他的人,，我僅是看住頭寸的人（我只根據(jù)需要調(diào)整止損,，等），但是,，這個頭寸還沒平,。
This filter is so profitable, we increase the size of our trading position when we see it develop and then happen.
這個過濾器如此能盈利，我們一旦看到這種情形出現(xiàn),，就增加交易的頭寸,。
When you go back and check it out, you will notice many times how it just misses a move by a few hours. It is an extremely profitable filter.
當你回頭察看時，你會注意到很多次,，幾小時機會就出現(xiàn)了,，這是一個具有相當盈利能力的過濾器。
We also define 'same price' as being within 5 pips or so of being equal. Sometimes it turns out the signal is exact, but I don't think you have to split hairs on this. Within 5 pips is good enough for us.
我定義“相同價格”,，指的是5點以內(nèi)或者相同,，有時證明信號是確切的，但我認為你不必吹毛求疵,，5點對于我們來說足夠了,。
2.)We do not initiate new currency trading positions based on tunnel trading during the Asian time-frame. Anything between 5pm NY and Midnight NY is ignored for entry of new positions. Positions that are on are monitored as normal, i.e., everything else is the same. We will take profits if fib levels are hit. If we miss a move, then we miss a move. A missed move is just an opportunity cost. Chop-chop in Asia will eventually cost you more money than it is worth.
在亞洲市期間我們不開新倉，紐約時間下午5點到午夜避免開新倉,，已開的倉密切注意,，都一樣,，只要到達費那滋數(shù)列位置,，就平倉兌現(xiàn)利潤，如果錯過了一個波動,，就錯過了僅僅是一個機會成本,，亞洲市的盤整最終會比損失花費你更多的錢。
3.)News days that can have a significant affect on prices are ignored. That's right, we skip them for entry of new positions. Currently there is only 1 day per month which qualifies, and that is US Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] which comes at 8:30 am NY time the first Friday of each month. Positions that are on are monitored as normal.
重大新聞日子會造成價格的劇烈波段避免開新倉,。這是對的,，我們跳過這些日子建立新的頭寸。現(xiàn)在每月也就一天,，每月紐約時間早上8：30分的非農(nóng)數(shù)據(jù),，那一天不開新倉,，但已有的頭寸照常關(guān)注。（注：譯者認為以有的頭寸需設(shè)對沖止損）
當隧道變的很窄（很多時候都這樣）,，不要僅將止損設(shè)到隧道那一邊,，如果你那樣做，會被反復折磨到死,，用小時圖的或最近幾小時的止損或支撐來設(shè)止損,。
If you are a newbie to trading, you will find this to be the most troublesome filter. If you are not familiar with trendlines, triangles, flags, pennants, and support and res. levels, then go get the eduation and come back. Simple but necessary advice.
如果你是交易的新手，你會發(fā)現(xiàn)這是一個很麻煩的過濾器,。如果你不熟悉趨勢線,，三角形，旗形,，細長三角旗形,，阻力和支撐，你最好學習學習再回來,。這是簡單而必須的忠告,。
I don't mean to infer that just because you know this technical stuff it's going to be a walk in the park. It's not. Let's make one thing perfectly clear. EVERY model has its vulnerable spot that seem to increase losses. For tunnel trading, this is one of the scenarios. Putting in the right stop is an art, not a science.
我不是說你會那些技術(shù)術(shù)語, 這事就會很簡單。不,。說明一句, 每個交易模式都有它的缺陷,，看起來增加損失。在隧道交易上也一樣,。正確止損是一種藝術(shù), 不是一個科學,。
5.)We look for clean moves [1 bar] through the tunnel. This means your into profits almost from the get-go. You will not always get the clean moves. The longer the market stays in the tunnel chopping around, the higher the probability our entry decision will be made on a break of support or res. instead of the tunnel boundaries.
我們要的是一個干脆的突破(一跟棒)隧道邊, 這意味著你幾乎一入場便會盈利。但你不會經(jīng)常得到干脆的突破,。當市場留在隧道盤整區(qū)越長, 就越大機會你是以突破支持/阻力位進場, 而不是隧道邊緣來進場,。
6.)We do not trade minor [contra-major] trend signals in a strong up or down market price trend. If the GBP/USD is in a strong price uptrend, we will not initiate new short positions on a break of the lower tunnel boundary. Why? Because the probability of success in getting past 55 from the ema is not very good. Past history tells us that, so I'm not looking to be the hero here and say 'This time it's different.' When market comes back through the tunnel on the upside, we will get back in on the long side.
在強的上升下降趨勢中，我們不做小的 (反主流)的訊號,。如果GBP/USD主流趨勢是往上, 我們不會因為價格跌破隧道下邊而開新空倉,。為什么? 因此這樣情況下, 從ema跌破55點的機會率不會很高。這是經(jīng)驗告訴我們的,。我不會很英雄地說'這次不同的,。'當市價回到并突破隧道上邊, 我們會繼續(xù)做多。
If I have to tell you when the market is in a strong price move, I don't think you have been paying attention to the price movements of late.
如果我不得不在價格處于一個大的波動時告訴你,， 那我認為你并沒有留心最近的價格走勢,。
In a range-bound market, which we define as a market between 3 - 5 handles [or lower] in a 5 week time-frame, we trade both sides.
在折返的市場 ，就是我在5周圖上定義的3-5次折返的,，我兩個方向都作,。
Now, that's all we use. Can you use more? Can you invent your own? Can You change some of the definitions? Yes, absolutely. Invent your own filters, use an Elliot Wave filter, anything you think will help your trading.
哪，這就是我們用的隧道交易法。你能用的比這更多嗎?你能創(chuàng)造出更多你的東西嗎,？你能改變其中的一些定義嗎,？是的，當然可以,。發(fā)明你自己的過濾,，利用艾略特過濾器，任何你認為對你交易有幫助的所有的東西,。

本帖最后由 wccmcd 于 2015-12-4 12:05 編輯

SUGGESTED MODEL SYSTEM
建議的模型
Do I really need to mention money management?
我確實必須提及資金管理嗎,？
I didn't think so.
我不這樣認為。
At a minimum you should be able to do 3 units to implement tunnel trading. Use the 55, 89, and 144 levels to take 1/3 off at each level. If you can do 4 units, use 55, 89, 144, and 233. 5 units is the preferable level, and you use 55, 89, 144, 233, and let one unit ride until crosses over tunnel boundary or it reaches 377.
最少你至少能下三個交易單位來執(zhí)行隧道交易法,，利用55,，89，144來分次獲取利潤,。如果你能做4個交易單位,，用55，89,，144和233來止贏,。5個交易單位是比較完美的，你用55,，89,，144，233止贏,，留下最后一個單位直到市場穿過隧道翻轉(zhuǎn)或達到377來止贏,。
Of course, you can make your units any size you want. For smaller traders, a unit size may be 10,000. If you do not have the money to trade 30,000 of something, then I would advise you to save up and come back when you do. If your account has $2,000 in it, you can easily implement tunnel trading with 10k units.
當然，你能自己決定每個交易單位的大小,。對于小的交易者,，一個單位的大小或許是10，000,。如果你沒有錢來交易30,，000，我建議您存足錢再來交易,。如果你的賬戶有2000$了,，你可以輕松的用10k的單位來進行隧道交易。
One of the greatest advantages of this model is its flexibility in its design to allow you to choose the level of risk/reward you desire in trading. You can make this as aggressive or as conservative as fits your style. I will give an example of each. These are just examples, I'm not saying you have to do this. I'm only giving you these two to stimulate your brain. In the following day and weeks I am confident you will find an appropriate level for yourself.
這個模型最大的有利在于彈性地選擇你期望的風險回報比來交易,，你可以選擇適合你的進取型還是保守型,。我會給每個模型范例,。這僅僅是例子,，我不是說你要這樣做。我給這些僅僅是為了刺激你的大腦，在接下來的幾天或幾周,，我確信你會找到適合你的,。

本帖最后由 wccmcd 于 2015-12-4 12:05 編輯

Example 1 - Very Aggressive
例1 －非常進攻型
Tunnel is pivot level for buy/sell. Above tunnel, buy breaks, sell at fib numbers. At 233 an 377, fade the move for retracement. Below tunnel, sell rallies, buy at the fib numbers. Use previous fib numbers in the move as stop loss points. This is very aggresive, and woul be appropriate for very short-term traders who have a time-frame of day-trading.
隧道是買賣的基準。隧道之上,，買突破,，在費那滋數(shù)列位置平倉。在233和377位置淡出等待回撤,。在隧道之下,，賣出，在費那滋數(shù)列位置買回,。用前面的費那滋位置止損,。這是相當進攻型的，這適合短線交易者,，做日內(nèi)交易,。
Example 2 - Very Conservative
例2－非常保守型
Uses basic tunnel system with 12 ema. Only initiates on this signal. Looking for best possible probability trade. Willing to give up more profitability in return for less risk. Trades three units. Uses fib numbers 55, and 89 for 1/3 each. Leaves the other unit on until 233 or market price crosses over tunnel boundary. Allows trader to catch short-term [1-5 day] profit points, and also allows him/her to ride the major trend if one develops.
和隧道系統(tǒng)一起使用ema(12)，僅在這個信號下建倉,，尋找最好概率的交易機會,。將在最小的風險下得到最好的收益。交易三個單位,，用55,，89止贏，留下最后一個單位直到233或者價格穿過隧道邊緣止贏,。允許交易者抓住1-5天的利潤,，而且一旦主要趨勢生成就能抓到。
Like I said, these are just two of an infinite number of risk/reward senarios you can develop using this model. This is not some rigid system, where you have to do this or that. It is adaptable, with no right or wrong answers. This is why many locals from soybeans to bonds to gold and silver, oil, etc. use it. I've seen some people who have transformed this into a model you wouldn't recognize without knowing what tunnel trading offers.
象我說的,，使用這個模型風險回報比僅僅只有兩個不確定的數(shù)字,。這不是一個剛性的系統(tǒng)，你要這樣作或那樣做,。是適應(yīng)性的,，沒有正確的或錯誤的答案。這是為什么許多使用者轉(zhuǎn)到大豆,、債券,、金銀、原油等市場去使用他,。我看到一些人將他轉(zhuǎn)換到你都不知道他在用隧道法交易什么,。
When you get right down to it, once you have adapted it into your own trading style and personal risk model, tunnel trading will give you all you want. Momentum to catch the bigger moves over time, early profit points that allow you to catch short-term movements, and the lowest risk you can possibly have in a trade, because you are only risking 10 -25 pips on each trade. If your odds of success on each trade were 50-50 [they aren't this low], over time you would make a fortune. If you don't believe me, then do the math.
一旦你真正了解他，一旦你將他轉(zhuǎn)變成適合你個人交易風格的模型,，隧道交易法能給你所有你要的,。動量讓你抓住長時間的大波動，也允許你抓住短期的波動，實現(xiàn)早期的利潤,。因為你每次僅僅承受10-25嗲的風險,。如果你能每次交易獲得50－55點的利潤（實際不是這么少），長期下來你會發(fā)財,，如果你不相信我,，就算一算。
Precisely because of this flexibility tunnel trading is the best model I have ever seen.
確切說因為隧道交易的靈活性,，我認為是我看到的最好的交易模型,。

本帖最后由 wccmcd 于 2015-12-4 12:05 編輯

上面原理演示的圖表注釋歸類到外匯黃金吧，大家去看看吧
上面的指標,、模板,、EA將歸類到技術(shù)吧里去，大家可以去看看,。

本帖最后由 wccmcd 于 2015-12-4 12:05 編輯

上面的指標,、模板、EA將歸類到技術(shù)吧里去,，大家可以去看看,。
   謝謝寶馬，準備加上看看{:soso_e160:}

本帖最后由 wccmcd 于 2015-12-4 12:05 編輯

              沒事 就來灌灌水 嘿嘿 謝謝 寶馬出力

本帖最后由 wccmcd 于 2015-12-4 12:05 編輯

非常不錯,，謝謝分享

本帖最后由 wccmcd 于 2015-12-4 12:05 編輯

維加斯隧道,，蠻不錯的
我把它當做多空分界線

本帖最后由 wccmcd 于 2015-12-4 12:05 編輯

學習、學習,。

比較難整的是,，那些斐波那契數(shù)字，以哪個基點開始計算目標呢,？
進場點位,？還是說突破隧道的那一刻的K線？